3. Lo scenario internazionale della transizione energetica 41 What about steel, cement, ammonia, plastics, shipping, and aviation. Well, we focused very strongly on these at the energy transition commission between 2017 and 2018. And if I can have the next slide, please. And we produced a report where, while conclusion is in the title, we called it Mission Possible (Slide 9, page 58). We concluded that it was absolutely possible to get even these supposedly hard to abate sectors of the economy, to net zero by 2050, with only a minimal role of offsets with the vast majority of the reduction coming within the sectors themselves. And that was because we were able to identify a set of technologies which are already available, which can get us to net zero in these sectors. And what is interesting is that over the last five years, that message has been increasingly accepted. And to a quite extraordinary extent, if, five years ago, let’s take aviation, as an example, if five years ago, you had talked to people in the aviation industry, and said, what can you do by 2050, to reduce emissions, you would have had them saying, well, we can get more efficient. We can do a Edg, air transport systems, air control systems more efficient, we can improve our planes, maybe we can use some biofuels, et cetera, get all that together, maybe we can get our emissions down 50%. But if he wants to get to zero, we’ll have to do at least half of it by buying offsets from the forest sector. But just last week, and if we turn to the next slide, we issued a report, which was endorsed by a huge range of the aviation sector, by airlines by aircraft manufacturers, by technology providers, and by airports, which set out scenarios whereby the aviation industry can get to zero by 2050 (Slide 10, page 59). The crucial thing to note on these charts down at the far right hand corner of them, you’ll see that little negative bit below the line, that’s how much is dependent on buying offsets. It’s only about four or 5% of emissions, the vast majority is because of technological innovation, and progress. That red slice is the application of electricity and hydrogen to short distance aviation, there’s a range of different points of view, about how far that can extend the optimist probably believe that we can get to 100 seater planes over 1,000 kilometers. And that could mean that about 15-20% of emissions disappear because of electrification or hydrogen.
RkJQdWJsaXNoZXIy NDY5NjA=